More Hooey from global warming alarmists.
Published Sun, Oct 29 2006 9:01 PM
Technorati Tags: Global Warming
A former economist pretends to be able to predict mass extinctions in 100 years or so...
Stern estimates that reducing greenhouse gas emissions now would cost about 1 percent of global GDP a year, while dealing with the effects of a significant increase in worldwide temperature would cost 5 percent to 20 percent of global GDP. He said about 200 million people would be forced to move if the temperature rises by 3 degrees centigrade (5.4 degrees F) and that 40 percent of the species on Earth might become extinct.
Source: United Press International - NewsTrack - Report: Immediate action on climate change
Somehow I don't think the math adds up. First of all, the widely agreed upon temperature savings (amount of global warming avoided) for complete implementation of the Kyoto protocol by 2050 is only 0.07 degrees centigrade. That number is considerably smaller than the margin of error in calculating global temperature. So if you consider the worst case rate of global warming and the best case rate of temperature savings, that 1% (other analysts come closer to 1.5%) of GDP annually for 20 years will not really do much at all to keep those 200 million people from having to move, or saving that 40% of species.
Speaking at the Tenant Farmers Association’s 25th anniversary conference this week, the University of London’s Emeritus Philip Stott said media-hype and the lack of a robust energy policy over the past 30 years had been major problems.
“We are walking into danger if we think we can stop climate change – we can’t, but we can mess up the British economy. Energy security for Britain is a very serious issue and we need a realistic policy that will slow down climate change. But let’s not be conned that we can stop it.”
Source: Climate change cannot be stopped
More Hooey from global warming alarmists. Better start warming up those cells in Nuremberg!
Trackback URI for this post: http://perrinelson.com/track.aspx?postid=35
Permalink URI for this post: http://perrinelson.com/2006/10/29/35.aspx
Subscribe to this entry's
comment feed. (Atom)
Comments to this entry are closed.